Polyana da Costa, Courtesy of Bankrate.com, July 11th, 2012
The rate on the most popular type of mortgage fell to a new low last week, despite Europe’s latest efforts to ease its ongoing debt crisis.
The benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 3.87% from 3.89%, according to the Bankrate.com national survey of large lenders. The mortgages in last week’s survey had an average total of 0.43 discount and origination points. One year ago, the mortgage index stood at 4.79%; five weeks ago, it was 3.92%.
This is the lowest the 30-year rate has reached in the 26 years Banklrate has conducted the weekly survey. This downward trend has lasted three months. The last time the fixed rate increased was May 4th.
The benchmark 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 3.13% from 3.16%, while the benchmark 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage fell to 2.96% from 3.02%.
Some in the mortgage industry feared rates would increase after European leaders recently agreed to measures to help solve the sovereign-debt crises in Italy and Spain. The moves eased some of the fear among investors, who became more optimistic after the European Central Bank indicated that it will provide some relief to th economy by cutting its key interest rate to a record low below 1%.
Whenever investors feel more comfortable with the global economic situation, there is upward pressure on mortgage rates. But these temporary fixes to the euro crisis won’t be enough to push mortgage rates up in the United States, according to John Walsh, president of Total Mortgage Services in Milford, Conn.
“Initially (the fixes) looked like a good thing,” Walsh says. “But then realization set in that loaning more to countries with huge debt problems is a Band-Aid at best — averts disaster, but doesn’t solve problems. Rates have improved as more trouble is expected.”
Brett Sinnott, director of secondary marketing at CMG Mortgage Group in San Ramon Calif., says he expects the ongoing crisis will continue to help rates in the United States.
“They have a potential to drop even lower should the EU break up at any point this year,” he says.
Even if Europe is able to dodge the bullet, many investors still view the U.S. Treasuries as a safe haven amid a slowing economy in China and a still-weak economy in the United States. Strong demand for Treasury bonds is normally good for mortgage rates.
“The new information coming from China and their slowdown will only help to keep rates low as we will continue to remain the ‘safe haven,” Sinnott says.
Nevertheless, there is no guarantee rates will stay low. Mortgage experts say borrowers who are able to refinance now should not miss the opportunity to grab these record-low rates.
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